27.67°N 85.32°E · Lalitpur, Nepal
identity.session
aakash@pulchowk:~$ whoami

Aakash Mandal. Engineering the future through research, data & technology.

Roles: Civil Engineer, Geospatial Researcher, Hydrology & GLOF Modeller, Machine Learning Enthusiast, Scientific Software Developer.

I work at the intersection of civil engineering, geospatial science, and computational modelling to understand natural hazards and develop practical engineering solutions.

GLOF & dam breach Geospatial ML Nepal Himalaya
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About

I am a Civil Engineering graduate from Pulchowk Campus, Institute of Engineering, Tribhuvan University, Nepal. My interests lie in geospatial science, hydrology, natural hazards, remote sensing, and computational modelling.

My work combines engineering principles with spatial data analysis and machine learning. I have worked on glacial lake outburst flood modelling, landslide susceptibility assessment, and the development of physics-based dam breach simulation software.

I enjoy turning complex engineering problems into practical analytical tools and reproducible research workflows. I also spent a year as a site engineer on a 200 MW hydropower project in Dolakha, supervising tunnelling and Bailey bridge works.

Technical profile

  • Civil Engineering B.E., IOE
  • Geospatial Analysis QGIS · GRASS
  • Hydrological Modelling HEC-RAS · FLDWAV
  • Machine Learning RF · XGB · SVM
  • Scientific Computing NumPy · FV solvers
  • Engineering Software TS · React
Based in Nepal · UTM 44N
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Research & featured projects

Three studies on how mountain hazards start and where they go: a dam-breach model, a published GLOF study, and a landslide susceptibility framework.

PROJECT 02 · Published Research · 2025Published research

Hydrodynamic Modelling of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood in Lower Barun Lake

A published study of potential GLOF scenarios from Lower Barun Lake in the Nepal Himalaya, focused on downstream settlements and the Arun-3 Hydropower Project. I led the geospatial analysis and spatial outputs.

  • 2D hydrodynamic routing in HEC-RAS on a 12.5 m ALOS PALSAR DEM.
  • Breach hydrographs generated with FLDWAV for avalanche-induced and Upper Barun cascade scenarios.
  • Avalanche susceptibility from GIS and AHP; avalanche dynamics simulated in RAMMS.
  • Satellite-based lake change analysis with Landsat 5 and 8, 1994–2024.
  • Flood depth, velocity, inundation and infrastructure impact at six downstream sites.
HEC-RASFLDWAVRAMMSQGISRemote sensingAHP
AccessOpen access · free to read and download
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND 4.0
JournalDiscover Civil Engineering 2, 18 (Springer Nature)
TimelineAccepted 5 Feb 2025 · Published 14 Feb 2025
3,398accesses
6citations

Springer Nature figures as of 3 Nov 2026

Cite this paper

              
            
KEY RESULTS
51,231m³/s peak discharge, 100% breach
9,014m³/s peak discharge, 25% breach
49.12 mpeak flood depth at Arun-3 HEP
~2 hflood arrival at Arun-3 after full breach
LOWER BARUN LAKE AREA
1994 0.718 km² 2024 2.265 km²

Lake area roughly tripled in 30 years (Landsat 5 and 8).

PROJECT 03 · Independent Research · 2025 – 2026Research under review

Multi-Scale Pixel and Slope-Unit Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with Applicability-Domain Validation

A geospatial machine-learning study of landslide susceptibility along the Karnali Highway corridor in western Nepal. The preprint is on EarthArXiv and the manuscript is under peer review.

  • Pixel-based susceptibility mapping at three analysis grids (3 m, 15 m, 25 m).
  • Slope-unit terrain analysis with r.slopeunits, tuned by a Global Heterogeneity criterion.
  • Random Forest, XGBoost and SVM with Bayesian hyperparameter optimisation.
  • Spatially blocked cross-validation and SHAP-based interpretability.
  • Applicability-domain assessment from Mahalanobis distance and inter-model agreement.
PythonQGISGRASS GISscikit-learnXGBoostSHAP
STUDY AT A GLANCE
~2,155km² highway corridor
460mapped landslide polygons
0.995best AUC, grid units
0.87best AUC, slope units
MAPPING UNITS COMPARED

Three pixel grids and terrain-following slope units, each trained and validated separately. All data in WGS 84 / UTM 44N.

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Publications

2025

Hydrodynamic modelling of glacial lake outburst flood in Lower Barun Lake

Mandal, A., Adhikari, A., Shakya, A., Dwivedi, A., Bhusal, A., Shrestha, A., & Kafle, M. R.
Discover Civil Engineering (Springer Nature), 2(1), 18
DOI 10.1007/s44290-025-00176-1 · 3,398 accesses · 6 citations (Springer, 3 Nov 2026)
Published · Open accessRead paper
2026

Multi-scale pixel and slope-unit landslide susceptibility mapping with applicability-domain validation: Evidence from the Karnali Highway corridor, western Nepal

Karki, A., Mandal, A., Bhusal, A., & Karna, A. K.
EarthArXiv preprint · manuscript under review
DOI 10.31223/X5C21W
Under reviewRead preprint
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Technical skills

Geospatial & Remote Sensing

mapping · terrain · imagery

ArcGISQGISGRASS GISRemote SensingDEM ProcessingSpatial Analysis

Hydrology & Hydraulic Modelling

floods · breaches · routing

HEC-RASMODFLOWFLDWAVFlood ModellingGLOF SimulationDam Breach Analysis

Programming & Computation

pipelines · models · apps

PythonTypeScriptReactMachine Learningscikit-learnXGBoostSHAP

Civil & Structural Engineering

design · drafting · analysis

AutoCADETABSCSI BridgeSketchUpEngineering Analysis
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Experience & education

December 2024 – November 2025

Site Engineer · Lapche Khola Hydropower Project (200 MW)

Sumo Construction and Engineering Pvt. Ltd. (M.V. Dugar Group) · Lapche, Dolakha
  • Supervised tunnelling at Adit-4: excavation, support works and daily site operations.
  • Coordinated site teams of supervisors, technicians and labour crews.
  • Supervised Bailey bridge foundations and steel structure erection.
  • Monitored construction quality and progress against drawings and schedules.
  • Managed site materials and inventory records.
  • Supervised housing construction for the project camp.
May 2024 – July 2024

Online Chemistry Instructor · Parikshya Exam

Entrance-exam preparation platform
  • Delivered structured chemistry lessons for CSIT entrance exam preparation.
  • Developed lesson plans and explained complex concepts clearly.
Bachelor's degree

B.E. in Civil Engineering

Institute of Engineering, Pulchowk Campus, Tribhuvan University, Nepal

HydrologyRemote Sensing & GISEngineering GeologyStructural AnalysisEnvironmental Engineering
Higher secondary

Higher Secondary Education

Kathmandu Model College

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Have a research idea or engineering challenge?

I'm always interested in connecting with researchers, engineers, and developers working on geospatial science, hydrology, natural hazards, and scientific software.

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